Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran this year?

Question

If Reza Pahlavi is appointed, elected, named, designated, or succeeded to the position as the head of state or government of Iran before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Unlikely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 12% chance (51 traders, as of Apr 1, 2026).