Will Ed Gallrein underperform Trump?

Question

In 2024, Donald Trump recieved 66.91% in Kentuckys 4th Congressional district.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Kentucky#District_4

Resolves yes if Ed gallrein recieves 66.90% or less. Resolves no if Ed Gallrein recieves 66.91% or more.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Very likely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 91% chance (3 traders, as of May 26, 2026).