Will chuck Schumer lead the senate democrats after 2026 elections?

Question

Resolves yes if chuck schumer wins the first senate democratic leadership election after the 2026 senate elections.

Does not matter if democrats win or lose the senate. This is who leads them regardless if they are the majority or minority.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 58% chance (12 traders, as of May 23, 2026).