Will Andy Burnham win a majority of the vote in the Makerfield byelection?

Question

Resolves yes if Andy Burnham receives 50.000001% or more of the vote in the Makerfield By election.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Makerfield_by-election

Manifold Markets · Answer

Probably not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 26% chance (31 traders, as of Jun 4, 2026).