U.S. PHEV sales exceed 15,000 units in Jan 2026?

Question

Resolution criteria

Resolves YES if Argonne National Laboratory’s Light-Duty Electric Drive Vehicles Monthly Sales Updates reports U.S. new light‑duty PHEV sales for January 2026 strictly greater than 15,000 (>15,000). Resolves NO if the value is ≤15,000. Use the “PHEV sales” figure for January 2026 shown on that page or its downloadable spreadsheet. Use the latest value available on that Argonne page as of April 30, 2026; later revisions are ignored. (anl.gov)

If Argonne relocates the page, use its successor Argonne-hosted monthly sales page. If January 2026 data is not posted by April 30, 2026, use the U.S. Joint Office “Monthly EV Minute” for January 2026 that cites Argonne; if still unavailable by May 31, 2026, resolve N/A. (driveelectric.gov)

Background

Argonne compiles monthly U.S. sales of HEVs, PHEVs, and BEVs (light‑duty ≤10,000 lbs) and publishes summary tables and a downloadable spreadsheet. (anl.gov)

Recent PHEV monthly volumes have hovered around the low‑20Ks: June 2024 = 23,648; July 2024 = 22,320; November 2024 = 23,513. June 2025 dipped to 19,716. (driveelectric.gov, anl.gov)

Considerations

Auto sales are seasonally weak in January, which can depress PHEV totals relative to late‑year months. Revisions to Argonne’s monthly figures are occasional; the cutoff above limits ambiguity. (anl.gov)

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

No — resolved on Feb 17, 2026 by Manifold Markets prediction market.