Maine Senate Primary margin of victory. Janet Mills v Graham Platner

Question

Resolves to correct answer for first round of voting.  Any further rounds (it’s a ranked choice primary) DONT COUNT.

Resolves according to official margin or media reporting/viewing results if not close.

Resolves n/a if Mills or Platner don’t win the primary

Resolves Mills 10%+ if Platner doesn’t appear on the ballot and doesn’t run a write in campaign, and resolves Platner 20%+ if Janet mills doesn’t appear on the ballot and doesn’t run a write in campaign.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Platner 20%+, followed by Platner 10-19.9999% and Platner 5.00-9.9999% are most likely. See the market for live updates (9 traders, as of Apr 20, 2026).