Ken Paxton margin of victory in Texas Senate Republican primary Runoff

Question

Resolves yes if Ken Paxton wins by the listed amount or more.

Eg. If result was Paxton 57.2% to cornyn 42.8%, that is a win by 14.4% and all 1,2,3,5,7.5,10,11.5+ would all resolve yes.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_Senate_election_in_Texas#Republican_primary

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Ken Paxton wins by 1.000% or more?, followed by Ken Paxton wins by 2.000% or more? and Ken Paxton wins by 3.000% or more? are most likely. See the market for live updates (12 traders, as of May 26, 2026).