How Low Will Donald Trumps Approval get in 2026?

Question

Resolves according to vote hub: https://votehub.com/polls/ Average of polls. See image below for figure to be used. We will use the approve number to resolve this market.

Just has to show once on the graph, does not have to stay below that number until the end of the year.

If votehub shuts down I’ll find another reliable source

Year ends at December 31 11.59pm Eastern Time.

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Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, 38.0% or below?, followed by 37.0% or below? and 36.0% or below? are most likely. See the market for live updates (25 traders, as of Jul 15, 2026).