Graham Platner and James Talarico both win their primaries and general elections?

Question

Resolves YES if Graham Platner is the winner of the Maine Democratic primary for senate in 2026 AND the Maine US Senate election in 2026,  and James Talarico is the winner of the Texas Democratic primary for senate in 2026 and the Texas US Senate election in 2026.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Probably not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 33% chance (19 traders, as of Mar 17, 2026).