Emerson College Maine Senate Polls Prop Bets

Question

Seems like Emerson college is doing a Maine poll:

[image]Resolves N/a if no poll for Maine senate released by April 30 2026

Any options not polled resolve n/a. Eg. If only dem primary is polled,  general election props like platner beats Collins, resolve n/a.

Will resolve based on most basic poll if they release multiple. Eg. If they do a normal poll and then an ‘informed poll’ we’ll use the normal poll

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Graham Platner leading Dem Primary?, followed by Graham Platner beats Susan Collins in general? and Graham Platner ahead by 5 or more % in the primary? are most likely. See the market for live updates (2 traders, as of Mar 23, 2026).