Democratic Primary Winner for Texas 18th District 2026?

Question

resolves YES to the winner of the primary for Texas 18th on March 3rd, with runoff on May 26 if needed. If a runoff is needed, will resolve to winner of runoff.

This market is not for the special election at the end of January.

Update 2026-03-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will close early (before the primary date of March 3rd, 2026).

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Christian Menefee, followed by Al Green and Other are most likely. See the market for live updates (18 traders, as of May 26, 2026).