April Virginia Redistricting Referendum Margin

Question

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Virginia_redistricting_amendment

Resolves according to official results and major media reporting.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, YES gets 51.000% or more?, followed by YES gets 52.000% or more? and YES gets 53.500% or more? are most likely. See the market for live updates (13 traders, as of Apr 5, 2026).