Will the monthly donation cap throttle donations before the end of 2025?

Question

Manifold has implimented a $10,000/M$1,000,000 cap to the amount that can be donated to charity. Right now it's irrelevant; much less than that gets donated. If there are 4 consecutive months where the amount donated is at least 95% of the cap, this market resolves YES. Otherwise it resolves NO at close.

(This market is refers to whatever the donation cap is at the time, not specifically to $10,000.)

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

No — resolved on Jan 23, 2026 by Manifold Markets prediction market.