Will Steve Kirsch win their bet with Rootclaim over vaccine deaths?

Question

"Win" refers to any result of the debate where Rootclam must pay Steve. (A negative total score from the judges.)

View the exact terms of the bet here, and the background here and here.

Resolves N/A if the bet is cancelled or it resolves to a tie.

Related markets:

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Manifold Markets · Answer

Unlikely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 9% chance (24 traders, as of Apr 17, 2026).