Will anyone offer to pay Eliezer Yudkowsky to write a steamy sex scene between Harry, Draco, and Hermoine?

Question

[tweet]Must be a credible offer for the appropriate amount. If this hasn't happened by the beginning of 2030, I'll assume it's not happening and resolve to NO.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Unlikely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 10% chance (23 traders, as of Sep 13, 2025).