Is Satoshi Nakamoto a single person?

Question

Resolves once we know their identity. If multiple people were significant contributors, this resolves NO. If one person was the primary contributor but they rarely let someone else post on their account or got a little bit of help from them, this resolves YES.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Likely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 72% chance (15 traders, as of Mar 9, 2026).