If Steve Kirsch loses their bet with Rootclaim over COVID-19 vaccine deaths, will they pay the money?

Question

"Loses" refers to any result of the debate where Steve must pay Rootclaim money. (A positive total score from the judges.)

View the exact terms of the bet here, and the background here and here.

Resolves N/A if the bet is cancelled.

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Manifold Markets · Answer

Almost certainly — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 96% chance (9 traders, as of Jan 30, 2026).