Conditional on anyone proposing marriage via Manifold before 2025, will that couple still be together after the proposal?

Question

Context:

(https://manifold.markets/embed/CarsonGale/will-anyone-propose-marriage-via-ma)Market resolves based on the first non-fraudulent proposal. They must still be together 2 weeks later.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Very likely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 91% chance (23 traders, as of Feb 21, 2025).