At EOY 2025, will ByteDance own the American version of TikTok?

Question

US politicians are once again making moves to ban or force divestment on TikTok in. Will it succeed this time, and if so when?

Some other questions ask if TikTok will "be banned" or "forced to change ownership", which describes an earlier part of the process or seems vague. This question concerns the actual ownership, at the time of resolution.

Edit: As clarified in the comments, if the app is shut down/inactive/banned in the US/... but still owned by TikTok, and the company hasn't A) shut down or B) divested the app. In such cases, this question resolves YES.

Question might resolve YES early in case there's a fully finished transaction to another entity.

I will not trade in this market, in case resolution gets tricky.

See sister question with same criteria for EOY 2024:

(https://manifold.markets/embed/HenriThunberg/at-eoy-2024-will-bytedance-control)

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

Yes — resolved on Jan 5, 2026 by Manifold Markets prediction market.