What will be the annual mean CO2 level in 2030?

Question

Resolution according to CO2 measurements in ppm and the calculation of annual means from Global Monitoring Laboratory at Mauna Loa Observatory.

Graphs of historic CO2 measurements at Mauna Loa are here:

https://gml.noaa.gov/ccgg/trends/mlo.html

The data for historic annual means are here:

https://gml.noaa.gov/webdata/ccgg/trends/co2/co2_annmean_mlo.txt

Mean data will be rounded up or down for resolution.

Manifold Markets · Answer

The current median estimate is 0.46684635833674193 according to Manifold Markets prediction market (as of Oct 28, 2026).