Did monkeypox come from a lab?

Question

Claims beginning to circulate (just search twitter etc) e.g:
https://thenationalpulse.com/2022/05/22/wuhan-assembled-monkeypox-strains/
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kD5x-xwGxTQ
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2022/jan/22/monkeys-escape-after-truck-carrying-100-animals-to-a-laboratory-crashes-in-us?CMP=share_btn_tw

Resolves to my post hoc PROB (hopefully after smart sci folk have done the thorough analysis)

Manifold Markets · Answer

Unlikely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 12% chance (53 traders, as of Aug 24, 2024).