Will Trump declare a national emergency related to elections before the 2028 election?

Question

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2026/02/26/trump-elections-executive-order-activists/

Pro-Trump activists who say they are in coordination with the White House are circulating a 17-page draft executive order that claims China interfered in the 2020 election as a basis to declare a national emergency that would unlock extraordinary presidential power over voting.

Resolves based on whether a national emergency is declared by Trump (or by a future president) that, according to major news media, relates to elections or voting, before the 2028 election.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 40% chance (31 traders, as of May 5, 2026).