https://manifold.markets/levifinkelstein/will-this-market-be-in-the-interval?referrer=Fion

The linked market resolves in a way that depends on what its percentage is when it closes. This means that the percentage it's sitting at is not representative of the community's collective probability estimate that the market resolves YES.

THIS market is a straightforward prediction, so its probability should reflect the "true" probability of levi finkelstein's market. I hope. [Edit: see comments for why this may not be quite true.]

I can't quite get my head around whether it represents an arbitrage opportunity, but users of levi finkelstein's market may be interested in hedging their bets.