Will Ivanka Trump convert to any religion other than Judaism by 2030?

Question

She converted to Judaism just before marrying her husband. This question will resolve YES if she converts back to Christianity, or to any other religion, by 01/01/2030.

If she renounces her religion without converting to another one that doesn't count. Neither does switching to a different branch of Judaism.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Unlikely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 14% chance (15 traders, as of Nov 21, 2025).