Will Google Deepmind and OpenAI have a major collaborative initiative by the end of 2030? (1000 mana subsidy)

Question

Merge = a major integrated effort, instead of a few disjointed collaborative projects. A significant amount of resources shared.

Doesnt have to form a single merged company or organization of a kind, but a systematic sharing of resources, research, and personnel exclusive to this partnership is a resolution criteria.

OpenAI has a "merge and assist" clause as well, which would also satisfy it.

Please ask questions about the resolution criteria to help me narrow it down to avoid confusions later.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 53% chance (76 traders, as of Sep 26, 2024).