FairlyRandom announcements

Question

Updates regarding FairlyRandom downtime or other issues will be posted here. Please follow this market if you would like to receive notifications for that.

If FairlyRandom isn't working on your market, make sure it's publicly listed! Otherwise it can't be queried using the API so the bot can't find your comments there.

Please don't test FairlyRandom here, for that use the test market instead:

(https://manifold.markets/embed/FairlyRandom/fairlyrandom-testing-market)

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 59% chance (3 traders, as of Jan 4, 2026).