Will California authorize more housing units in 2027 than 2026?

Question

As reported by FRED.

If that data series is no longer available, a best effort will be made to produce comparable numbers and judge accordingly.

Previously:

@/EvanDaniel/will-california-authorize-more-hous

Individual year estimates:

@/EvanDaniel/how-many-housing-units-will-califor-0p0z0cAphZ

@/EvanDaniel/how-many-housing-units-will-califor-n9CySu9NPL

@/EvanDaniel/how-many-housing-units-will-califor-8yzE6clz6C

@/EvanDaniel/how-many-housing-units-will-califor-pC2zRsIUNu

Manifold Markets · Answer

Likely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 69% chance (10 traders, as of Sep 22, 2026).