Will any Republican Vote to Impeach Trump in 2027?

Question

Resolves yes if the house votes on impeachment of President Donald trump, and at least one Republican votes yes on at least one article of impeachment.

Resolves no if there is no vote on Trump's impeachment in 2027, or no Republican votes yes. (This includes if Trump is not in office in 2027.)

Must be a Republican or caucus with the republicans at time of the vote.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 46% chance (13 traders, as of May 14, 2026).