When Will Formula 1 "Go Electric"?

Question

The spirit of this market is to see, if all Formula 1 contenders will have removed Internal Combustion Engines (ICE) from their cars.

It would not require a rule, but it would require that all contenders are free from ICE.

Battery Electric -> Resolves positive 
Hydrogen Fuelcell -> Resolves positive 
Hydrogen engine -> Does not resolve positive 
Biofuel/Efuel into an engine -> Does not resolve positive

Creating this market as a response to the president of Formula 1 (motor sports group) stating Formula 1 will "never go electric": https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/lifestyle/formula-1-will-never-go-electric-ecclestones-successor

Manifold Markets · Answer

The current median estimate is 0.2927564542321113 according to Manifold Markets prediction market (as of Jul 27, 2024).