🔥 Will More Than 1,000,000 Acres Burn During The 2024 California Wildfire Season?

Question

Will More Than 1,000,000 Acres Burn During The 2024 California Wildfire Season?

RESOLUTION

Resolves YES if 1,000,001+ acres are burned in 2024.

Resolves NO if 1,000,000- acres are burned in 2024.

INFORMATION

Data may not be available for up to 1-2 weeks after the end of year.

Source Used: CALFIRE 2024

Prior 10 Years :(Average per year: 1,355,802)

2023: 324,917

2022: 331,360

2021: 2,569,386

2020: 4,304,379

2019: 277,285

2018: 1,975,086

2017: 1,599,640

2016: 669,534

2015: 880,899 (estimated)

2014: 625,540 (estimated)

Clarifications & Notes:

01/06/2024 ; None at this time.

(https://manifold.markets/embed/DistinctlySkeptical/-will-more-than-1355802-acres-burn)DISCLAIMER

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Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

Yes — resolved on Sep 30, 2024 by Manifold Markets prediction market.