🚀 Will SpaceX Achieve 135 Successful Launches In 2025?

Question

Will SpaceX Achieve 135 Successful launches in 2025?

Resolves To All Successful Launches Of All Variants Of Launch Vehicles On The Official Flight Manifest Page.

SPACEX PAST FLIGHTS MANIFEST

Launches Must Occur During The Beginning of January 1st 2025 12am ET (5am UTC) - December 31st 2025 11:59pm ET (4:59 am UTC)

LAUNCH COUNT

January: TBD

February: TBD

March: TBD

April: TBD

May: TBD

June: TBD

July: TBD

August: TBD

September: TBD

October: TBD

November: TBD

December: TBD

TOTAL: TBD

NOTES:

Monthly SpaceX Launch Markets

CLARIFICATIONS:

3/19/2023: On the manifest you will see 3 colors: Green is Successful, Orange is Partial Failure, Red is Failure.

DISCLAIMER

I DO NOT PARTICIPATE IN MARKETS I CREATE

DO NOT TRADE OFF OF UNCONFIRMED MARKET NEWS OR NEWS YOU MAY NOT UNDERSTAND. I AM NOT RESPONSIBLE FOR MISUNDERSTANDING IF YOU DO NOT ASK FOR CLARIFICATION FIRST.

If Any Clarification Is Needed, I May Temporarily Close The Market To Make Clarifying Statements & Than Re-Open ; Feel Free To Ask For Clarification Through Messages Rather Than Making A Comment. Comments are not a clarification unless posted into the description.

In The Event That A Market Is "Sweepified" The Resolution Of The Mana Market Will Resolve The Same As The Resolution Manifold Resolves & Only When Manifold Resolves The "Sweepified" Market.

(https://manifold.markets/embed/SirCryptomind/will-spacex-achieve-100-successful-tRqqNpUn5E?play=true)(https://manifold.markets/embed/DistinctlySkeptical/-will-spacex-achieve-100-successful?play=true)(https://manifold.markets/embed/DistinctlySkeptical/-will-spacex-achieve-120-successful?play=true)(https://manifold.markets/embed/DistinctlySkeptical/-will-spacex-achieve-150-successful-Lggz2zOP2E?play=true)[tweet]

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

Yes — resolved on Oct 22, 2025 by Manifold Markets prediction market.