Will TikTok be banned in the United States for the majority of the population by the end of 2024?

Question

This question is about the legislation impacting consumers before the end of 2024 (for the majority of Americans).

If TikTok is banned for the majority of Americans before the end of 2024 and some people were still accessing TikTok illegally in the US after the ban came into place then the market would resolve YES

If a bill is signed into law but is not yet impacting consumers (i.e. because it is held up in court) that would not count towards a YES because the ban would not yet be impacting consumers

If TikTok is banned in a way that impacted the majority of Americans before the end of 2024, then the market would resolve as a YES (even if TikTok was later re-instated)

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

No — resolved on Jan 4, 2025 by Manifold Markets prediction market.