This refers to stage 1 of the prediction contest ("blind mode") to see whether we performed as well as we did last year where prediction markets scored at the 99.5th percentile (beating 506 of 508 participants). 

See here for the discussion of the 2022 results:

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/who-predicted-2022

Here is the group of markets for the questions: 

https://manifold.markets/group/acx-2023-prediction-contest

If the Astral Codex 2023 contest results writeup states Manifold performed better than last year's result (at or higher than 99.5th percentile compared to blind mode results), this will resolve yes. 