Peaceful unification by 2050 [IF DON'T INVADE]

At Market creation manifold is pricing a ~40% chance of invasion by 2030. If an invasion occurred, this would certainly be the most important day in history so far in my life. Therefore details of how it might unfold deserve significant attention and analysis. 

Unless stated otherwise, all the questions in this market are conditional on an invasion and will resolve NA if an invasion does not occur by market close (which may be extended). 

I will trade to set some initial prices to recoup some of my mana, but otherwise will not trade. 