In what year will an AI successfully beat The Talos Principle?

Question

Must complete all necessary puzzles to beat the game, but does not need to collect any bonus stars. The AI cannot use excessive glitches to clip through walls with superhuman precision.  Cannot have excessive gameplay footage, or text or video walkthroughs, or answers from internet posts about the game, in its training data, nor may it look up such information during the run.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, 2027, followed by 2028 and 2026 are most likely. See the market for live updates (7 traders, as of Oct 1, 2025).