Will the White Rhinoceros (Ceratotherium simum) become extinct in the current century?

Question

This market is about the extinction risk of the White Rhinoceros species in the current century, regardless of subspecies. The market will resolve YES if the White Rhinoceros is extinct in 2100. It will resolve NO if it is not extinct in 2100.

Wikipedia

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/White_rhinoceros

IUCN assessment

https://www.iucnredlist.org/species/4185/45813880

For comparison here the market about the wild extinction risk of the species, excluding captive animals:

(https://manifold.markets/embed/ConservationForecasts/will-the-wild-population-of-the-whi?play=true)

Manifold Markets · Answer

Unlikely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 11% chance (13 traders, as of Aug 6, 2025).