Will the Saola (Pseudoryx nghetinhensis) become extinct in the current century?

Question

This market will resolve YES if the Saola, also known as Asian Unicorn, is extinct in 2100. It will resolve NO if it is not extinct in 2100.

Wikipedia

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Saola

IUCN red list of threatened species:

https://www.iucnredlist.org/species/18597/166485696

Please help trading this market and posting news about the species in the comments, in order to get the most accurate assessment of its extinction risk.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Very likely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 91% chance (5 traders, as of Nov 8, 2025).