Will the Bornean Orangutan (Pongo pygmaeus) become extinct in the current century?

Question

This market is about the extinction risk of the Bornean Orangutan species in the current century, regardless of subspecies. The market will resolve YES if the Bornean Orangutan is extinct in 2100. It will resolve NO if it is not extinct in 2100.

Wikipedia

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bornean_orangutan

IUCN assessment

https://www.iucnredlist.org/species/17975/259043172

For comparison, the market about the wild extinction risk of the Bornean Orangutan:

(https://manifold.markets/embed/ConservationForecasts/will-the-wild-population-of-the-bor?play=true)

Manifold Markets · Answer

Probably not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 29% chance (12 traders, as of Oct 12, 2025).