Will the Bald Eagle (Haliaeetus leucocephalus) become extinct in the current century?

Question

This market will resolve YES if the Bald Eagle is extinct in 2100. It will resolve NO if it is not extinct in 2100. Note: The market is about the Bald Eagle species, regardless of subspecies.

Wikipedia

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bald_eagle

IUCN red list of threatened species:

https://www.iucnredlist.org/species/22695144/264598530

iNaturalist:

https://www.inaturalist.org/taxa/5305-Haliaeetus-leucocephalus

For comparison here the market about the Wild Extinction Risk of the species:

(https://manifold.markets/embed/ConservationForecasts/bald-eagle-haliaeetus-leucocephalus?play=true)

Manifold Markets · Answer

Unlikely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 8% chance (9 traders, as of Nov 3, 2026).