The American Bullfrog is a large frog species native to eastern North America. It has also been introduced into the Western United States, South America, Europe, and Southeast Asia, where is an invasive species. This market will resolve YES if the American Bullfrog is declared extinct by the IUCN by 2100 or earlier, and NO if it is not declared extinct by the IUCN in 2100.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/American_bullfrog

IUCN Red List of Threatened Species Assessment: Least Concern

https://www.iucnredlist.org/species/58565/193396825

For comparison here the market about the wild extinction risk of the species: