Will the American Bison (Bison bison) become extinct in the current century?

Question

This market will resolve YES if the American Bison, also known as American Buffalo, is extinct in 2100. It will resolve NO if it is not extinct in 2100.

Wikipedia

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/American_bison

IUCN red list of threatened species

https://www.iucnredlist.org/species/2815/123789863

For comparison, here the market about the wild extinction risk of the species:

(https://manifold.markets/embed/ConservationForecasts/will-the-wild-population-of-the-ame?play=true)

Manifold Markets · Answer

Unlikely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 12% chance (12 traders, as of Sep 5, 2025).