this is happening at Harvard because the Trump administration removed their certification for the Student and Exchange Visitor Program

probably it will be challenged in court and undone

. To me, this seems very cruel to international students there. It also scares me personally, as I'm a Stanford student with international friends.

To resolve YES, an Ivy+ university besides Harvard must genuinely lose the ability to enroll international students. I am not counting it if it's suspended for one week and then unsuspended due to a court order or policy revocation or something. There must be evidence that either real international students are becoming unenrolled, or that an admissions round at the college admitted zero international (non-US resident) students when it would normally admit many. I set the deadline to March 2026 because it includes the Regular Decision rounds of the 2025-26 admissions season.

Definition of Ivy+ university: Stanford, MIT, or one of the Ivies (Harvard, Princeton, Yale, Brown, Columbia, Cornell, Dartmouth, UPenn). Again, Harvard doesn't count for this market.

General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.