Manifold Election Day Watch Party [or something similar]

Election Watch Party-y McElectionWatchPartyface

A Political Party / The Manifold Political Party

The goal is something snappier and punnier. Please suggest names!

Resolves PROB to my judgement of what people call it. Every answer will resolve to YES, NO, or a multiple of 25%.

General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.