anything that has not been publicly announced

something writing related (substack, blog, documentation, etc.)

'blog':5 'document':6 'etc':7 'relat':3 'someth':1 'substack':4 'write':2

something related to games or gamification (incl puzzles)

'game':4 'gamif':6 'incl':7 'puzzl':8 'relat':2 'someth':1

(a) Poster on the Manifold Politics Account

'account':7 'manifold':5 'polit':6 'poster':2

I will resolve this in 3 days, on July 24! Add answers.

I ask that you not bet if you know the answer (e.g. if you are also on the Manifold Core Team).

I will N/A any answers which are obviously true or false. For instance, I am writing Manifold newsletters, and am a moderator and partner, but that was known.

General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.