If Harris loses, will Tim Walz be the 2028 presidential nominee?

Question

Resolves N/A if Harris wins the 2024 election (or if she’s not the nominee for some reason).

[tweet]General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Almost certainly not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 3% chance (55 traders, as of Oct 12, 2026).