How many satellites launched in 2026?

Question

Per https://planet4589.org/space/stats/out/satannual.txt when updated past year end

Last few years at time of market creation:
2018 568

2019 500

2020 1263

2021 1824

2022 2496

2023 2908

2024 2863

2025 4522

If this source is unavailable or out of date I might switch to UNOOSA which has fairly similar numbers but usually takes longer to update.
https://www.unoosa.org/oosa/osoindex/search-ng.jspx?lf_id=

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, 3800 or more, followed by 4000 or more and 4200 or more are most likely. See the market for live updates (6 traders, as of Oct 31, 2026).