Will most digital entertainment be AI generated by 2028?

Question

Resolves yes if most of the time people spend entertaining themselves on their phones, computers, headsets, is by consuming AI generated content.

I will only confirm yes if a poll at that time shows a broad consensus that this has happened. I will resolve n/a if there is significant disagreement and no if there is a consensus otherwise.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Probably not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 21% chance (45 traders, as of Mar 25, 2026).