Will Joe Biden openly convert to EA by the end of his current term

Question

This market is an explicit copy of @LucaMasters' market (shown below) as I wanted to provide a trading alternative with a track record of accurate market resolution to help traders diversify away resolution risk. To be explicit - I have no reason to suspect that @LucaMasters might resolve the market improperly other than my general wariness of any new user - Luca has personally done nothing to deserve any suspician.

I will be betting in this market, as part of my rationale for creating the market is to diversify away some of my own position in the parallel market from resolution risk.

(https://manifold.markets/embed/LucaMasters/will-joe-biden-openly-convert-to-ea-3b625d190a8e)The original market description states:

"Joe Biden, future Effective Altruist? It's more likely than you might think!

It's not enough for Joe to say "I'm a long-term thinker" or "I care doing things well." The term "effective altruism" needs to be employed. (Not necessarily said by him—reporter: "Are you an effective altruist?" Joe: "You betcher bottom dollar I am!" counts.)"

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

No — resolved on Jan 22, 2025 by Manifold Markets prediction market.