Will a human preserved through cryonics be successfully restored by end of 2100?

Question

The restored subject must have previously been declared legally dead. For a positive resolution, the restored subject must be awake, be able to communicate, and live for at least one month. For purposes of this market, successfully uploading the subject's mind digitally such that the subject is commonly believed to be conscious and retains ~50% or more of the memory function that they would have had at death is sufficient for a positive resolution.

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Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 49% chance (27 traders, as of Sep 21, 2025).