Will there be an insider betting/ trading scandal on Manifold before the end of 2024?

Question

Will there be an insider betting/ trading scandal at Manifold before the end of 2024?

This will return yes if there is a credible report from:

The site admins;

A credible news outlet;

Matt Levine.

Otherwise this will return no.

Note: The size of the scandal is not relevant, only that it was large enough that any of the listed sources deem it notable enough to report on it.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Unlikely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 11% chance (11 traders, as of Jun 6, 2025).